Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and elevated dew points around 21–23°C that limit nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent observations show overnight lows holding near or above seasonal norms amid humid maritime air and minimal cloud cover, reducing radiative heat loss. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C, while the 37% odds on 31°C or higher reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation of heat retention. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine the exact low ahead of the 24-hour resolution window, with any shift in steering flow or humidity the key variable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
31°C or higher 74%
26°C 52%
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
74%
31°C or higher 74%
26°C 52%
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and elevated dew points around 21–23°C that limit nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent observations show overnight lows holding near or above seasonal norms amid humid maritime air and minimal cloud cover, reducing radiative heat loss. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C, while the 37% odds on 31°C or higher reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation of heat retention. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine the exact low ahead of the 24-hour resolution window, with any shift in steering flow or humidity the key variable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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