**Current forecast models indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 10–13°C and the modest 25% on 8°C or below.** Northerly winds advect cooler continental air while Lake Ontario's thermal moderation and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, producing the narrow expected range. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the Sept 20 average low at ~12.9°C, with recent years ranging 9–16°C, underscoring why traders assign comparable weight across the 9–14°C bins rather than a single dominant outcome. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Toronto on September 20?
12°C 51%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C or below 49%
8°C or below
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
51%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 51%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C or below 49%
8°C or below
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
51%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 10–13°C and the modest 25% on 8°C or below.** Northerly winds advect cooler continental air while Lake Ontario's thermal moderation and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, producing the narrow expected range. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the Sept 20 average low at ~12.9°C, with recent years ranging 9–16°C, underscoring why traders assign comparable weight across the 9–14°C bins rather than a single dominant outcome. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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