**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 46%
10°C 39%
8°C 36%
5°C or below
46%
6°C
16%
7°C
18%
8°C
43%
9°C
27%
10°C
39%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
16%
14°C
35%
15°C or higher
50%
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 46%
10°C 39%
8°C 36%
5°C or below
46%
6°C
16%
7°C
18%
8°C
43%
9°C
27%
10°C
39%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
16%
14°C
35%
15°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা