**Forecast consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s top implied probabilities (11°C at 41.5%, 10°C at 30%, 12°C at 29%).** In late winter, southerly flows and a fresh pulse of cooler polar air—following an earlier August outbreak—are expected to keep overnight readings near or slightly below the seasonal average low of roughly 9–10°C. Current guidance shows a high near 14–15°C under strengthening northwesterlies that moderate into showers, limiting radiative cooling but preventing extremes. The spread across leading outcomes reflects typical model uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and exact timing of frontal passages, with lower probabilities for 8°C or below (21.5%) or 13°C+ reflecting limited support for sharper cold advection or unusually mild conditions. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
21%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
42%
12°C
29%
13°C
27%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$68 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$1 Vol.
30%
11°C
$32 Vol.
42%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$199 Vol.
4%
15°C
$71 Vol.
1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s top implied probabilities (11°C at 41.5%, 10°C at 30%, 12°C at 29%).**
In late winter, southerly flows and a fresh pulse of cooler polar air—following an earlier August outbreak—are expected to keep overnight readings near or slightly below the seasonal average low of roughly 9–10°C. Current guidance shows a high near 14–15°C under strengthening northwesterlies that moderate into showers, limiting radiative cooling but preventing extremes. The spread across leading outcomes reflects typical model uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and exact timing of frontal passages, with lower probabilities for 8°C or below (21.5%) or 13°C+ reflecting limited support for sharper cold advection or unusually mild conditions. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$463শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s top implied probabilities (11°C at 41.5%, 10°C at 30%, 12°C at 29%).**
In late winter, southerly flows and a fresh pulse of cooler polar air—following an earlier August outbreak—are expected to keep overnight readings near or slightly below the seasonal average low of roughly 9–10°C. Current guidance shows a high near 14–15°C under strengthening northwesterlies that moderate into showers, limiting radiative cooling but preventing extremes. The spread across leading outcomes reflects typical model uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and exact timing of frontal passages, with lower probabilities for 8°C or below (21.5%) or 13°C+ reflecting limited support for sharper cold advection or unusually mild conditions. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$463শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s top implied probabilities (11°C at 41.5%, 10°C at 30%, 12°C at 29%).** In late winter, southerly flows and a fresh pulse of cooler polar air—following an earlier August outbreak—are expected to keep overnight readings near or slightly below the seasonal average low of roughly 9–10°C. Current guidance shows a high near 14–15°C under strengthening northwesterlies that moderate into showers, limiting radiative cooling but preventing extremes. The spread across leading outcomes reflects typical model uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and exact timing of frontal passages, with lower probabilities for 8°C or below (21.5%) or 13°C+ reflecting limited support for sharper cold advection or unusually mild conditions. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা