**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's September 20, 2026, minimum temperature centers on the narrow 21–23°C band, with market-implied odds clustered tightly at 22°C and 23°C (both ~50%) and 21°C (~45.5%).** This reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling rather than any major forecast shift. Official guidance from multiple models (including those aligned with Chinese meteorological sources) points to a minimum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity (~70–80%). These conditions limit radiative cooling after recent rainfall and frontal passage, which had lowered daytime highs and maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects in Wuhan create small divergences—some runs dip to 22°C or briefly touch 21°C in clearer or calmer pockets—while most stabilize at 23°C. With resolution hinging on the precise overnight low (typically occurring just before dawn), traders weigh the latest model runs, local station observations, and any last-hour cloud or wind changes. Historical September minima for the region average near 19–20°C, but current warm, moist air mass keeps values elevated and the distribution tightly compressed around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
19°C 4%
20°C 1%
18°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
48%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 4%
20°C 1%
18°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
48%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's September 20, 2026, minimum temperature centers on the narrow 21–23°C band, with market-implied odds clustered tightly at 22°C and 23°C (both ~50%) and 21°C (~45.5%).** This reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling rather than any major forecast shift. Official guidance from multiple models (including those aligned with Chinese meteorological sources) points to a minimum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity (~70–80%). These conditions limit radiative cooling after recent rainfall and frontal passage, which had lowered daytime highs and maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects in Wuhan create small divergences—some runs dip to 22°C or briefly touch 21°C in clearer or calmer pockets—while most stabilize at 23°C. With resolution hinging on the precise overnight low (typically occurring just before dawn), traders weigh the latest model runs, local station observations, and any last-hour cloud or wind changes. Historical September minima for the region average near 19–20°C, but current warm, moist air mass keeps values elevated and the distribution tightly compressed around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা