The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020 and unopposed in the 2024 general election, faces only a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest, while Republican opposition remains negligible in a state where the party last held the seat decades ago. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns make a seat flip highly improbable before November 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$46,864 Vol.
$46,864 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$46,864 Vol.
$46,864 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,264 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$23,600 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020 and unopposed in the 2024 general election, faces only a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest, while Republican opposition remains negligible in a state where the party last held the seat decades ago. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns make a seat flip highly improbable before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$46,864শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020 and unopposed in the 2024 general election, faces only a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest, while Republican opposition remains negligible in a state where the party last held the seat decades ago. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns make a seat flip highly improbable before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$46,864শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020 and unopposed in the 2024 general election, faces only a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest, while Republican opposition remains negligible in a state where the party last held the seat decades ago. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns make a seat flip highly improbable before November 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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