Former Maine Governor Paul LePage commands 92% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for ME-02 on June 9, 2026, reflecting his unchallenged frontrunner status after Army veteran James Clark's recent withdrawal and the March 15 filing deadline. LePage's commanding position stems from sky-high name recognition from two gubernatorial terms, a December 2025 Donald Trump endorsement, National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its March 17 MAGA Majority program targeting House retention, and robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March. While trader consensus views the primary as a lock absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or unforeseen entrant challenges, procedural hurdles limit realistic disruptions ahead of early voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Jun 9, 2026
Paul LePage
92%
James Clark
3%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 9, 2026
Paul LePage
$5,676 Vol.
92%
James Clark
$2,608 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage commands 92% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for ME-02 on June 9, 2026, reflecting his unchallenged frontrunner status after Army veteran James Clark's recent withdrawal and the March 15 filing deadline. LePage's commanding position stems from sky-high name recognition from two gubernatorial terms, a December 2025 Donald Trump endorsement, National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its March 17 MAGA Majority program targeting House retention, and robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March. While trader consensus views the primary as a lock absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or unforeseen entrant challenges, procedural hurdles limit realistic disruptions ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,284শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage commands 92% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for ME-02 on June 9, 2026, reflecting his unchallenged frontrunner status after Army veteran James Clark's recent withdrawal and the March 15 filing deadline. LePage's commanding position stems from sky-high name recognition from two gubernatorial terms, a December 2025 Donald Trump endorsement, National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its March 17 MAGA Majority program targeting House retention, and robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March. While trader consensus views the primary as a lock absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or unforeseen entrant challenges, procedural hurdles limit realistic disruptions ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$8,284শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Maine Governor Paul LePage commands 92% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for ME-02 on June 9, 2026, reflecting his unchallenged frontrunner status after Army veteran James Clark's recent withdrawal and the March 15 filing deadline. LePage's commanding position stems from sky-high name recognition from two gubernatorial terms, a December 2025 Donald Trump endorsement, National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its March 17 MAGA Majority program targeting House retention, and robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March. While trader consensus views the primary as a lock absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or unforeseen entrant challenges, procedural hurdles limit realistic disruptions ahead of early voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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