Traders see the next Claude Opus release as highly uncertain, with probabilities spread across mid-to-late September dates and a notable 12% chance of no launch by September 30. Recent rumors from developer accounts point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout on September 17 or 18, or by month-end, following Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—Opus 5 arrived July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and ongoing work on efficiency, coding benchmarks, and safety features keep expectations elevated in a competitive field against OpenAI and Google models. Any official announcement, API identifier, or credible benchmark leak could quickly shift these closely matched odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 25 16%
September 30 14%
September 24 13%
No release by September 30 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
3%
September 18
6%
September 19
1%
September 20
5%
September 21
9%
September 22
9%
September 23
9%
September 24
13%
September 25
16%
September 26
4%
September 27
3%
September 28
7%
September 29
7%
September 30
14%
No release by September 30
12%
September 25 16%
September 30 14%
September 24 13%
No release by September 30 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
$478 Vol.
3%
September 18
$39 Vol.
6%
September 19
$486 Vol.
1%
September 20
$507 Vol.
5%
September 21
$39 Vol.
9%
September 22
$39 Vol.
9%
September 23
$58 Vol.
9%
September 24
$119 Vol.
13%
September 25
$60 Vol.
16%
September 26
$486 Vol.
4%
September 27
$486 Vol.
3%
September 28
$58 Vol.
7%
September 29
$102 Vol.
7%
September 30
$139 Vol.
14%
No release by September 30
$139 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release as highly uncertain, with probabilities spread across mid-to-late September dates and a notable 12% chance of no launch by September 30. Recent rumors from developer accounts point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout on September 17 or 18, or by month-end, following Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—Opus 5 arrived July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and ongoing work on efficiency, coding benchmarks, and safety features keep expectations elevated in a competitive field against OpenAI and Google models. Any official announcement, API identifier, or credible benchmark leak could quickly shift these closely matched odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,387শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release as highly uncertain, with probabilities spread across mid-to-late September dates and a notable 12% chance of no launch by September 30. Recent rumors from developer accounts point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout on September 17 or 18, or by month-end, following Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—Opus 5 arrived July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and ongoing work on efficiency, coding benchmarks, and safety features keep expectations elevated in a competitive field against OpenAI and Google models. Any official announcement, API identifier, or credible benchmark leak could quickly shift these closely matched odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$3,387শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the next Claude Opus release as highly uncertain, with probabilities spread across mid-to-late September dates and a notable 12% chance of no launch by September 30. Recent rumors from developer accounts point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout on September 17 or 18, or by month-end, following Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus upgrades—Opus 5 arrived July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and ongoing work on efficiency, coding benchmarks, and safety features keep expectations elevated in a competitive field against OpenAI and Google models. Any official announcement, API identifier, or credible benchmark leak could quickly shift these closely matched odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা