Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, and Gottheimer has won re-election multiple times as a moderate Democrat representing northern New Jersey counties including Bergen and Passaic. He secured both the Democratic nomination and general-election positioning without primary opposition, while Republican Sean Kirrane emerged as the GOP nominee. Limited polling and low national attention on this race reinforce trader views that structural incumbency advantages and district lean outweigh any early general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout among suburban voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
$16,352 Vol.
$16,352 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$16,352 Vol.
$16,352 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,051 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$2,301 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, and Gottheimer has won re-election multiple times as a moderate Democrat representing northern New Jersey counties including Bergen and Passaic. He secured both the Democratic nomination and general-election positioning without primary opposition, while Republican Sean Kirrane emerged as the GOP nominee. Limited polling and low national attention on this race reinforce trader views that structural incumbency advantages and district lean outweigh any early general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout among suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$16,352শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, and Gottheimer has won re-election multiple times as a moderate Democrat representing northern New Jersey counties including Bergen and Passaic. He secured both the Democratic nomination and general-election positioning without primary opposition, while Republican Sean Kirrane emerged as the GOP nominee. Limited polling and low national attention on this race reinforce trader views that structural incumbency advantages and district lean outweigh any early general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout among suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$16,352শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, and Gottheimer has won re-election multiple times as a moderate Democrat representing northern New Jersey counties including Bergen and Passaic. He secured both the Democratic nomination and general-election positioning without primary opposition, while Republican Sean Kirrane emerged as the GOP nominee. Limited polling and low national attention on this race reinforce trader views that structural incumbency advantages and district lean outweigh any early general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout among suburban voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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