Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$10,492 Vol.
$10,492 Vol.
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$10,492 Vol.
$10,492 Vol.
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা