Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Brad Lander at 86% to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his progressive momentum in the deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn areas like Park Slope and Sunset Park. Recent catalysts include the April 2 endorsement from powerful union 32BJ SEIU—previously backing rivals in Lander's mayoral bid—and March 23 feud where Lander challenged incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman to a "People's Pledge" curbing PAC and dark money, spotlighting Goldman's $370,000 in AIPAC funds this cycle amid Gaza policy divides. A September 2025 poll showed Lander leading by 19 points; despite Goldman's April Q1 fundraising edge ($1.81 million cash-on-hand), traders bet on Lander's name recognition as ex-NYC Comptroller and grassroots support over challengers like Cameron Kasky, Yuh-Line Niou, and Alexa Avilés. Late spending surges or turnout shifts could narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBrad Lander 87%
Dan Goldman 11%
Cameron Kasky 1.1%
Yuh-Line Niou <1%
Brad Lander
87%
Dan Goldman
11%
Cameron Kasky
1%
Yuh-Line Niou
1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Brad Lander 87%
Dan Goldman 11%
Cameron Kasky 1.1%
Yuh-Line Niou <1%
Brad Lander
87%
Dan Goldman
11%
Cameron Kasky
1%
Yuh-Line Niou
1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Brad Lander at 86% to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his progressive momentum in the deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn areas like Park Slope and Sunset Park. Recent catalysts include the April 2 endorsement from powerful union 32BJ SEIU—previously backing rivals in Lander's mayoral bid—and March 23 feud where Lander challenged incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman to a "People's Pledge" curbing PAC and dark money, spotlighting Goldman's $370,000 in AIPAC funds this cycle amid Gaza policy divides. A September 2025 poll showed Lander leading by 19 points; despite Goldman's April Q1 fundraising edge ($1.81 million cash-on-hand), traders bet on Lander's name recognition as ex-NYC Comptroller and grassroots support over challengers like Cameron Kasky, Yuh-Line Niou, and Alexa Avilés. Late spending surges or turnout shifts could narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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