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রাজনীতি·প্রাথমিক

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
রাজনীতি·প্রাথমিক

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

Ritchie Torres 87%

Michael Blake 11%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.9%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$23,578 Vol.

Ritchie Torres 87%

Michael Blake 11%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.9%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$23,578 Vol.

Ritchie Torres

$3,073 Vol.

87%

Michael Blake

$2,019 Vol.

11%

Dalourny Nemorin

$11,799 Vol.

2%

Amanda Septimo

$6,687 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands trader consensus at 87% implied probability to win the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his substantial fundraising edge—nearly $15 million per recent FEC filings, fueled by PACs including AIPAC-aligned donors—alongside endorsements from former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 10.5%, leveraging a progressive critique of Torres' pro-Israel stance and TrackAIPAC backing announced April 9, yet trails amid self-loaned funds and Torres' dominance. Challengers like public defender Dalourny Nemorin (1.9%) and Assemblymember Amanda Septimo (0.7%), who suspended her campaign in January over health concerns, remain marginal, with opposition fragmented following an April 6 debate Torres skipped; no polling exists, but incumbency and resources solidify his path in this Bronx battleground.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$23,578
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 23, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands trader consensus at 87% implied probability to win the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his substantial fundraising edge—nearly $15 million per recent FEC filings, fueled by PACs including AIPAC-aligned donors—alongside endorsements from former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 10.5%, leveraging a progressive critique of Torres' pro-Israel stance and TrackAIPAC backing announced April 9, yet trails amid self-loaned funds and Torres' dominance. Challengers like public defender Dalourny Nemorin (1.9%) and Assemblymember Amanda Septimo (0.7%), who suspended her campaign in January over health concerns, remain marginal, with opposition fragmented following an April 6 debate Torres skipped; no polling exists, but incumbency and resources solidify his path in this Bronx battleground.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$23,578
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 23, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner" হলো Polymarket-এ 4 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Ritchie Torres" 87%-এ, তারপর "Michael Blake" 11%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner" মোট $23.6K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Nov 25, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 4 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Ritchie Torres" 87%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 87% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "Michael Blake" 11%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।