Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa area and carrying an R+11 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern entered the 2026 U.S. Senate race in March. A crowded Republican primary with 10 candidates is scheduled for June 16, with a possible August runoff, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and historical outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa area and carrying an R+11 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern entered the 2026 U.S. Senate race in March. A crowded Republican primary with 10 candidates is scheduled for June 16, with a possible August runoff, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and historical outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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