Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Philadelphia with a D+41 Cook PVI, remains firmly tilted toward Democrats following incumbent Dwight Evans' 2025 retirement announcement, driving trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House election winner on November 3, 2026. Recent Democratic primary polls updated within the last day highlight frontrunners like Sharif Street amid fundraising surges by candidates such as Chris Rabb, with the May 19 closed primary poised to select a nominee expected to replicate Evans' uncontested 2024 landslide. GOP prospects languish at 5.5% absent a recruitable star, though scenarios like a post-primary Democratic scandal, dismal turnout in this high-Dem registration area, or an extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$12,920 Vol.
$12,920 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,920 Vol.
$12,920 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Philadelphia with a D+41 Cook PVI, remains firmly tilted toward Democrats following incumbent Dwight Evans' 2025 retirement announcement, driving trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House election winner on November 3, 2026. Recent Democratic primary polls updated within the last day highlight frontrunners like Sharif Street amid fundraising surges by candidates such as Chris Rabb, with the May 19 closed primary poised to select a nominee expected to replicate Evans' uncontested 2024 landslide. GOP prospects languish at 5.5% absent a recruitable star, though scenarios like a post-primary Democratic scandal, dismal turnout in this high-Dem registration area, or an extraordinary national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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