Recent model releases have fragmented trader views on the second-best AI lab heading into late November 2026. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos variants currently top several leaderboards with strong agentic and coding performance, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra delivers competitive long-context and cybersecurity results shortly after launch. Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates and Meta’s Muse Spark iterations add pressure through speed and integration advantages, yet Chinese labs such as Moonshot, DeepSeek, and ByteDance continue closing capability gaps at lower cost, boosting their implied odds. With no dominant runner-up and benchmarks evolving quickly, market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over which lab’s next capability jump or efficiency gain will consolidate second place before year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGoogle 30%
DeepSeek 23%
Meta 21%
Amazon 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
30%
DeepSeek
23%
Meta
21%
Amazon
21%
Mistral
18%
Microsoft
18%
Tencent
17%
Moonshot
15%
OpenAI
14%
Baidu
14%
Anthropic
13%
StepFun
13%
Xiaomi
12%
SpaceXAI
12%
Nvidia
12%
Z.ai
9%
MiniMax
9%
ByteDance
8%
Alibaba
8%
Thinky
7%
Meituan
4%
Google 30%
DeepSeek 23%
Meta 21%
Amazon 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
$80 Vol.
30%
DeepSeek
$49 Vol.
23%
Meta
$80 Vol.
21%
Amazon
$49 Vol.
21%
Mistral
$49 Vol.
18%
Microsoft
$49 Vol.
18%
Tencent
$60 Vol.
17%
Moonshot
$60 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$60 Vol.
14%
Baidu
$60 Vol.
14%
Anthropic
$55 Vol.
13%
StepFun
$49 Vol.
13%
Xiaomi
$60 Vol.
12%
SpaceXAI
$60 Vol.
12%
Nvidia
$60 Vol.
12%
Z.ai
$60 Vol.
9%
MiniMax
$60 Vol.
9%
ByteDance
$60 Vol.
8%
Alibaba
$60 Vol.
8%
Thinky
$60 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$60 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have fragmented trader views on the second-best AI lab heading into late November 2026. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos variants currently top several leaderboards with strong agentic and coding performance, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra delivers competitive long-context and cybersecurity results shortly after launch. Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates and Meta’s Muse Spark iterations add pressure through speed and integration advantages, yet Chinese labs such as Moonshot, DeepSeek, and ByteDance continue closing capability gaps at lower cost, boosting their implied odds. With no dominant runner-up and benchmarks evolving quickly, market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over which lab’s next capability jump or efficiency gain will consolidate second place before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,244শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have fragmented trader views on the second-best AI lab heading into late November 2026. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos variants currently top several leaderboards with strong agentic and coding performance, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra delivers competitive long-context and cybersecurity results shortly after launch. Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates and Meta’s Muse Spark iterations add pressure through speed and integration advantages, yet Chinese labs such as Moonshot, DeepSeek, and ByteDance continue closing capability gaps at lower cost, boosting their implied odds. With no dominant runner-up and benchmarks evolving quickly, market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over which lab’s next capability jump or efficiency gain will consolidate second place before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$1,244শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases have fragmented trader views on the second-best AI lab heading into late November 2026. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos variants currently top several leaderboards with strong agentic and coding performance, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra delivers competitive long-context and cybersecurity results shortly after launch. Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates and Meta’s Muse Spark iterations add pressure through speed and integration advantages, yet Chinese labs such as Moonshot, DeepSeek, and ByteDance continue closing capability gaps at lower cost, boosting their implied odds. With no dominant runner-up and benchmarks evolving quickly, market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over which lab’s next capability jump or efficiency gain will consolidate second place before year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা