Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a fragmented, competitive landscape with no dominant frontrunner. OpenAI leads named options at 40% implied probability, followed closely by Xiaomi, Anthropic, and DeepSeek, while most others cluster near 50% for “Other” or individual firms. Key drivers include demonstrated progress on agent benchmarks, model releases enabling better tool use and multi-step reasoning, and strategic moves like partnerships or talent shifts. The tight odds highlight uncertainty over which labs will deliver verifiable agent capabilities versus marketing claims before the resolution date, with upcoming developer conferences and capability demos likely to shift consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMeta 37.5%
Alibaba 37.5%
DeepSeek 37.5%
Xiaomi 37.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
38%
Alibaba
38%
DeepSeek
38%
Xiaomi
38%
Amazon
38%
Microsoft
38%
Tencent
38%
Z.ai
36%
Mistral
34%
Moonshot
16%
19%
ByteDance
13%
Baidu
6%
Meituan
4%
MiniMax
4%
Anthropic
46%
OpenAI
46%
SpaceXAI
37%
Nvidia
32%
Meta 37.5%
Alibaba 37.5%
DeepSeek 37.5%
Xiaomi 37.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$33 Vol.
38%
Alibaba
$33 Vol.
38%
DeepSeek
$33 Vol.
38%
Xiaomi
$33 Vol.
38%
Amazon
$33 Vol.
38%
Microsoft
$33 Vol.
38%
Tencent
$33 Vol.
38%
Z.ai
$33 Vol.
36%
Mistral
$33 Vol.
34%
Moonshot
$73 Vol.
16%
$89 Vol.
19%
ByteDance
$33 Vol.
13%
Baidu
$241 Vol.
6%
Meituan
$33 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$183 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$53 Vol.
46%
OpenAI
$108 Vol.
46%
SpaceXAI
$78 Vol.
37%
Nvidia
$149 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a fragmented, competitive landscape with no dominant frontrunner. OpenAI leads named options at 40% implied probability, followed closely by Xiaomi, Anthropic, and DeepSeek, while most others cluster near 50% for “Other” or individual firms. Key drivers include demonstrated progress on agent benchmarks, model releases enabling better tool use and multi-step reasoning, and strategic moves like partnerships or talent shifts. The tight odds highlight uncertainty over which labs will deliver verifiable agent capabilities versus marketing claims before the resolution date, with upcoming developer conferences and capability demos likely to shift consensus.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,334শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a fragmented, competitive landscape with no dominant frontrunner. OpenAI leads named options at 40% implied probability, followed closely by Xiaomi, Anthropic, and DeepSeek, while most others cluster near 50% for “Other” or individual firms. Key drivers include demonstrated progress on agent benchmarks, model releases enabling better tool use and multi-step reasoning, and strategic moves like partnerships or talent shifts. The tight odds highlight uncertainty over which labs will deliver verifiable agent capabilities versus marketing claims before the resolution date, with upcoming developer conferences and capability demos likely to shift consensus.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$1,334শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a fragmented, competitive landscape with no dominant frontrunner. OpenAI leads named options at 40% implied probability, followed closely by Xiaomi, Anthropic, and DeepSeek, while most others cluster near 50% for “Other” or individual firms. Key drivers include demonstrated progress on agent benchmarks, model releases enabling better tool use and multi-step reasoning, and strategic moves like partnerships or talent shifts. The tight odds highlight uncertainty over which labs will deliver verifiable agent capabilities versus marketing claims before the resolution date, with upcoming developer conferences and capability demos likely to shift consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা