In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডColin Allred 72%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$56,280 Vol.
$56,280 Vol.
Colin Allred
72%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 72%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$56,280 Vol.
$56,280 Vol.
Colin Allred
72%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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