December 31

June 30, 2026

January 31

December 31, 2026

US x Russia military clash by...?

Belarus

Finland

Russia

Japan

United States

Other

Ukraine

Turkey

Switzerland

Gulf country

South Korea

Australia

Other EU country

No meeting by June 30

China

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

December 31, 2025

March 31

June 30

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

No meeting by December 31

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

October 31

March 31, 2026

November 30

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

April 30

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

Andy Barr - KY-Sen

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov

Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen

Who will Trump endorse?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

February 4

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

↑ 44%

↑ 48%

↑ 46%

↑ 50%

↑ 47%

↑ 45%

↑ 49%

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

January 10

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Approve token spending for trading

Deploy a smart contract wallet to enable trading

Sign a message to generate your API keys

Enable Trading

Are you sure you want to delete your comment?

Delete comment

GIFs

Comment reported

What will the Fed do at the upcoming meetings?

Dashboards

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

What do the first few months in office look like?

Promises & policies

Trump won, now what?

World Cup

Funds Activated

Your account needs to migrate to a new wallet to continue trading. Deploy your new deposit wallet, then transfer your funds over.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Convert your "No" positions to the complementary "Yes" positions (and potentially USDC).

Convert positions

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

users who convert will receive Yes shares in any outcomes added in the future

Winner-take-all

Your gains for each outcome scenario based on all your positions.

Net Positions

Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

Fund your account with crypto, debit card, or bank transfer—then you're ready to trade.

2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

Your session needs to be reset in order to make transactions. Please log out and then back in to reset your session.

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and attest that you are not (i) a U.S. person; (ii) located in the United States, France or other restricted jurisdiction; and (iii) using a VPN or other measures to circumvent or attempt to circumvent restrictions. Polymarket reserves the right to put your wallet in close-only mode if you do not comply with these Terms.

Trade on Polymarket

 certifying that you are not a US resident or located in the United States or any restricted region.

To continue to access trading functionality on the site, please fill out 

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for more information, including if you think you are receiving this message in error.

Your account has been placed into close only mode due to a potential violation of our Terms of Service. You may close out of your existing positions but not enter into new ones. Reach out to

Trading Halted

Trading is unavailable in the locations below. Use of measures to circumvent or attempt to circumvent these restrictions is prohibited.

View-only mode

{count} Orders

When you win, your payout hits your balance automatically. No more manual steps.

Auto-Redeem Disabled

Auto-Redeem Enabled

Auto-Redeem Failed

Re-enable Auto-Redeem

Auto-redeem wins

Get Paid Instantly

Something went wrong

You can close out these resolved positions to realize the loss.

Polymarkets Lost

Redeem Failed

This will merge all eligible market positions.

Merge ${amount} in positions

Your winnings are ready. Get back to trading!

I just won ${amount} on @Polymarket!

Join me and put your money where your mouth is:

Your Polymarket Wallet Address

I just put my money where my mouth is on @Polymarket.

Trade against me:

Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use, including that you are not (i) a U.S. person and (ii) located in the United States, France or other restricted territory.

To start trading with the upgraded system, approve the migration in your wallet. This is a one-time action.

Complete migration

Your USDC.e will be converted to pUSD at a 1:1 rate. No fees, all positions included, fully redeemable.

Balance migration

Please log in to your account so we can migrate your balance and approve the new contracts.