October 31, 2025

March 31, 2026

April 30

May 31

June 30

May 8

May 15

Will Trump visit China by...?

December 31

March 31

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Belarus

Finland

Russia

Japan

United States

Other

Ukraine

Turkey

Switzerland

Gulf country

South Korea

Australia

Other EU country

No meeting by June 30

China

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

December 31, 2025

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

June 30, 2026

December 31, 2026

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

January 31

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

January 10

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

Andy Barr - KY-Sen

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov

Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen

Who will Trump endorse?

↑ 44%

↑ 48%

↑ 46%

↑ 50%

↑ 47%

↑ 45%

↑ 49%

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

October 31

November 30

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

February 4

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Improved notification preferences and types.

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Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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Show/hide language selector in navigation

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Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

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Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

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Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

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Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

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Approve token spending for trading

Deploy a smart contract wallet to enable trading

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GIFs

Comment reported

What will the Fed do at the upcoming meetings?

Dashboards

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

What do the first few months in office look like?

Promises & policies

Trump won, now what?

Funds Activated

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Frequently Asked Questions

Convert your "No" positions to the complementary "Yes" positions (and potentially USDC).

Convert positions

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

users who convert will receive Yes shares in any outcomes added in the future

Winner-take-all

Your gains for each outcome scenario based on all your positions.

Net Positions

Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

Fund your account with crypto, debit card, or bank transfer—then you're ready to trade.

2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

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Trade on Polymarket

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View-only mode

Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

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