Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—such as 48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey on April 14 and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll post-nomination. Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week removed a key legal risk, bolstering his momentum amid opposition gains in this conservative stronghold. Park, confirmed as PPP candidate on April 11 after defeating Rep. Joo Jin-woo in the primary, trails as incumbency fails to offset polling deficits. Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, at 0.7%, stepped back after Democratic Party discouragement to avoid splitting votes. Remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this likely two-way race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChun Jae-soo 80%
Park Heong-joon 18%
Cho Kuk <1%
Park Seong-hoon <1%
$399,932 Vol.
$399,932 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
80%

Park Heong-joon
18%

Cho Kuk
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%

Choi In-ho
<1%

Lee Jae-sung
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Suh Byung-soo
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 80%
Park Heong-joon 18%
Cho Kuk <1%
Park Seong-hoon <1%
$399,932 Vol.
$399,932 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
80%

Park Heong-joon
18%

Cho Kuk
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%

Choi In-ho
<1%

Lee Jae-sung
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Suh Byung-soo
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—such as 48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey on April 14 and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll post-nomination. Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week removed a key legal risk, bolstering his momentum amid opposition gains in this conservative stronghold. Park, confirmed as PPP candidate on April 11 after defeating Rep. Joo Jin-woo in the primary, trails as incumbency fails to offset polling deficits. Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, at 0.7%, stepped back after Democratic Party discouragement to avoid splitting votes. Remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this likely two-way race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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