Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJannik Sinner 57%
Novak Djokovic 12.3%
Alexander Zverev 7.2%
Jakub Menšík 2.6%
$7,312,677 Vol.
$7,312,677 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
57%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Jakub Menšík
3%
Ben Shelton
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Jannik Sinner 57%
Novak Djokovic 12.3%
Alexander Zverev 7.2%
Jakub Menšík 2.6%
$7,312,677 Vol.
$7,312,677 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
57%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Jakub Menšík
3%
Ben Shelton
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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