Chong Won-oh's confirmation as the Democratic Party of Korea's nominee for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, following his primary victory on April 9 with strong party member and public poll support, has propelled trader consensus to an 89% implied probability of victory. Recent April 13 polling shows him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 52% to 37% in a head-to-head matchup, fueled by voter concerns over housing costs, urban infrastructure, and "incumbent fatigue" among younger demographics. Oh Se-hoon, seeking a fourth term after registering in March, trails amid ongoing People Power Party primary tensions and recent policy critiques from his rival. While Chong's momentum dominates, late scandals, turnout shifts, or a unified conservative challenger could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,611,053 Vol.
$23,611,053 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,611,053 Vol.
$23,611,053 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chong Won-oh's confirmation as the Democratic Party of Korea's nominee for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, following his primary victory on April 9 with strong party member and public poll support, has propelled trader consensus to an 89% implied probability of victory. Recent April 13 polling shows him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 52% to 37% in a head-to-head matchup, fueled by voter concerns over housing costs, urban infrastructure, and "incumbent fatigue" among younger demographics. Oh Se-hoon, seeking a fourth term after registering in March, trails amid ongoing People Power Party primary tensions and recent policy critiques from his rival. While Chong's momentum dominates, late scandals, turnout shifts, or a unified conservative challenger could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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