Recent state-level momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor's signature, has solidified trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a qualifying moratorium passing before 2027. Backlash against surging energy demands and grid strains has sparked similar bills in over a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal proposal and earlier state advances like Maine's despite its veto. This wave of local and regional action creates multiple pathways for success by late 2026. Yet realistic hurdles remain, such as potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly scoped legislation that fails market criteria, or stalled federal efforts amid shifting priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent state-level momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor's signature, has solidified trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a qualifying moratorium passing before 2027. Backlash against surging energy demands and grid strains has sparked similar bills in over a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal proposal and earlier state advances like Maine's despite its veto. This wave of local and regional action creates multiple pathways for success by late 2026. Yet realistic hurdles remain, such as potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly scoped legislation that fails market criteria, or stalled federal efforts amid shifting priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$58,111Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent state-level momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor's signature, has solidified trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a qualifying moratorium passing before 2027. Backlash against surging energy demands and grid strains has sparked similar bills in over a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal proposal and earlier state advances like Maine's despite its veto. This wave of local and regional action creates multiple pathways for success by late 2026. Yet realistic hurdles remain, such as potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly scoped legislation that fails market criteria, or stalled federal efforts amid shifting priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$58,127Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent state-level momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor's signature, has solidified trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a qualifying moratorium passing before 2027. Backlash against surging energy demands and grid strains has sparked similar bills in over a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal proposal and earlier state advances like Maine's despite its veto. This wave of local and regional action creates multiple pathways for success by late 2026. Yet realistic hurdles remain, such as potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly scoped legislation that fails market criteria, or stalled federal efforts amid shifting priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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