Recent legislative momentum in New York, where state lawmakers approved a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor’s signature, has driven the strong 91.3% market-implied odds for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands and grid strain has sparked similar proposals in a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal bill and Maine’s earlier legislative advance despite its eventual veto. This wave of state and local action creates multiple pathways for at least one measure meeting the market’s criteria to succeed by year-end. Traders see realistic challenges in potential gubernatorial vetoes, overly narrow definitions, or stalled federal follow-through that could still derail the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$58,107 Vol.
$58,107 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$58,107 Vol.
$58,107 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative momentum in New York, where state lawmakers approved a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor’s signature, has driven the strong 91.3% market-implied odds for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands and grid strain has sparked similar proposals in a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal bill and Maine’s earlier legislative advance despite its eventual veto. This wave of state and local action creates multiple pathways for at least one measure meeting the market’s criteria to succeed by year-end. Traders see realistic challenges in potential gubernatorial vetoes, overly narrow definitions, or stalled federal follow-through that could still derail the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$58,107Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative momentum in New York, where state lawmakers approved a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor’s signature, has driven the strong 91.3% market-implied odds for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands and grid strain has sparked similar proposals in a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal bill and Maine’s earlier legislative advance despite its eventual veto. This wave of state and local action creates multiple pathways for at least one measure meeting the market’s criteria to succeed by year-end. Traders see realistic challenges in potential gubernatorial vetoes, overly narrow definitions, or stalled federal follow-through that could still derail the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$58,107Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative momentum in New York, where state lawmakers approved a one-year pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending the governor’s signature, has driven the strong 91.3% market-implied odds for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands and grid strain has sparked similar proposals in a dozen states plus more than 100 localities, building on the March Sanders-AOC federal bill and Maine’s earlier legislative advance despite its eventual veto. This wave of state and local action creates multiple pathways for at least one measure meeting the market’s criteria to succeed by year-end. Traders see realistic challenges in potential gubernatorial vetoes, overly narrow definitions, or stalled federal follow-through that could still derail the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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