Bipartisan House efforts such as the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act and narrower measures on incident reporting, audits, and emergency shutdown capabilities advanced through committees in mid-2026 but stalled amid disputes over state-law preemption and the scope of federal oversight. Recent introductions, including the Stop Rogue AI Act and proposals for a new regulatory agency, remain early-stage with limited cosponsorship and no floor action. The administration has relied instead on executive orders and case-by-case agency actions, while Congress faces a compressed schedule ahead of the midterms. These factors have produced trader consensus that no comprehensive AI safety bill will clear both chambers and be enacted before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
11% Chance
$102,026 Vol.
$102,026 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
11% Chance
$102,026 Vol.
$102,026 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan House efforts such as the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act and narrower measures on incident reporting, audits, and emergency shutdown capabilities advanced through committees in mid-2026 but stalled amid disputes over state-law preemption and the scope of federal oversight. Recent introductions, including the Stop Rogue AI Act and proposals for a new regulatory agency, remain early-stage with limited cosponsorship and no floor action. The administration has relied instead on executive orders and case-by-case agency actions, while Congress faces a compressed schedule ahead of the midterms. These factors have produced trader consensus that no comprehensive AI safety bill will clear both chambers and be enacted before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$102,026Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan House efforts such as the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act and narrower measures on incident reporting, audits, and emergency shutdown capabilities advanced through committees in mid-2026 but stalled amid disputes over state-law preemption and the scope of federal oversight. Recent introductions, including the Stop Rogue AI Act and proposals for a new regulatory agency, remain early-stage with limited cosponsorship and no floor action. The administration has relied instead on executive orders and case-by-case agency actions, while Congress faces a compressed schedule ahead of the midterms. These factors have produced trader consensus that no comprehensive AI safety bill will clear both chambers and be enacted before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$102,026Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan House efforts such as the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act and narrower measures on incident reporting, audits, and emergency shutdown capabilities advanced through committees in mid-2026 but stalled amid disputes over state-law preemption and the scope of federal oversight. Recent introductions, including the Stop Rogue AI Act and proposals for a new regulatory agency, remain early-stage with limited cosponsorship and no floor action. The administration has relied instead on executive orders and case-by-case agency actions, while Congress faces a compressed schedule ahead of the midterms. These factors have produced trader consensus that no comprehensive AI safety bill will clear both chambers and be enacted before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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