Incumbent Nick Begich holds a clear lead in recent polling for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz and independent Bill Hill. The June 1 filing deadline remains open, though the field has largely stabilized around these three main contenders. National Democratic groups have targeted the seat following Begich’s narrow 2024 general-election win, while Schultz and Hill compete for anti-incumbent support through endorsements and fundraising. Alaska’s single primary ballot and ranked-choice general election mean vote fragmentation among challengers could determine which four candidates advance, with current polling averages and trader positioning reflecting Begich’s frontrunner status and Schultz’s stronger second-place showing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNick Begich III
92%
Matt Schultz
92%
Bill Hill
87%
John Williams
72%
Gavin Solomon
39%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
23%
$6,572 Vol.
Nick Begich III
92%
Matt Schultz
92%
Bill Hill
87%
John Williams
72%
Gavin Solomon
39%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
23%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Markt eröffnet: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Nick Begich holds a clear lead in recent polling for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz and independent Bill Hill. The June 1 filing deadline remains open, though the field has largely stabilized around these three main contenders. National Democratic groups have targeted the seat following Begich’s narrow 2024 general-election win, while Schultz and Hill compete for anti-incumbent support through endorsements and fundraising. Alaska’s single primary ballot and ranked-choice general election mean vote fragmentation among challengers could determine which four candidates advance, with current polling averages and trader positioning reflecting Begich’s frontrunner status and Schultz’s stronger second-place showing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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