Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola commands trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's U.S. Senate seat, propelled by her dominant first-quarter fundraising—$8.9 million raised, quadrupling incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's $2.1 million—and consistent polling edges. Announced April 14, the haul signals an expensive race under Alaska's top-four primary system on August 18, advancing candidates to the ranked-choice general election November 3. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research's March poll showing Peltola leading 52%-48% and others with five-point margins, highlight her crossover appeal from prior House wins, while Sullivan grapples with record-low approval ratings. Minor challengers Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson register under 0.5% each.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMary Peltola 63%
Dan Sullivan 34%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$301,784 Vol.
$301,784 Vol.

Mary Peltola
63%

Dan Sullivan
34%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 63%
Dan Sullivan 34%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$301,784 Vol.
$301,784 Vol.

Mary Peltola
63%

Dan Sullivan
34%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola commands trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's U.S. Senate seat, propelled by her dominant first-quarter fundraising—$8.9 million raised, quadrupling incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's $2.1 million—and consistent polling edges. Announced April 14, the haul signals an expensive race under Alaska's top-four primary system on August 18, advancing candidates to the ranked-choice general election November 3. Recent surveys, including Alaska Survey Research's March poll showing Peltola leading 52%-48% and others with five-point margins, highlight her crossover appeal from prior House wins, while Sullivan grapples with record-low approval ratings. Minor challengers Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson register under 0.5% each.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen