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icon for Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?
Technik·AI

Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?

icon for Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?
Technik·AI

Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?

NEU
30. Sep. 2026
Polymarket

$712 Vol.

Polymarket

30. September

$639 Vol.

81%

31. Oktober

$73 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI’s September 8–9, 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model coordinated up to 10,000 AI agents to produce a Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply elevated trader focus on FrontierMath-style benchmarks. The claim follows a string of 2026 AI solutions to previously unsolved research problems on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath Open Problems track, including number-theory and combinatorics results verified by mathematicians and formalizers. GPT-6 Astra and related OpenAI variants currently lead corrected FrontierMath v2 leaderboards at 83–97% on Tiers 1–4, outpacing Claude and Gemini entries, while the new FrontierMath Erdős set remains near 3% even for top models. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof, any independent replications, and upcoming model releases or earnings disclosures will likely drive near-term shifts in implied probabilities for the next verified frontier solve.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Volumen
$712
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI’s September 8–9, 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model coordinated up to 10,000 AI agents to produce a Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply elevated trader focus on FrontierMath-style benchmarks. The claim follows a string of 2026 AI solutions to previously unsolved research problems on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath Open Problems track, including number-theory and combinatorics results verified by mathematicians and formalizers. GPT-6 Astra and related OpenAI variants currently lead corrected FrontierMath v2 leaderboards at 83–97% on Tiers 1–4, outpacing Claude and Gemini entries, while the new FrontierMath Erdős set remains near 3% even for top models. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof, any independent replications, and upcoming model releases or earnings disclosures will likely drive near-term shifts in implied probabilities for the next verified frontier solve.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Volumen
$712
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Oktober" mit 83%, gefolgt von „30. September" mit 81%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 8, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Ein weiteres mathematisches Grenzproblem gelöst durch...?" ist „31. Oktober" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30. September" mit 81%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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