Trader consensus assigns a 99.2% probability that Bill Gates will not face charges by June 30, reflecting the absence of any active federal or state investigations, indictments, or prosecutorial actions reported through official channels such as the DOJ or courts. Legal charging processes for prominent figures require documented evidence gathering, grand jury proceedings, and public filings, none of which have surfaced in recent months. Historical base rates for sudden criminal charges without prior signals remain extremely low. Unlikely scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unanticipated indictment announcement or new investigative developments within the narrow remaining window, though such events lack supporting evidence at present.