Traders assign a 99.2% probability that Bill Gates will not face criminal charges by June 30 because no active federal or state investigations, indictments, or related legal proceedings involving him have been announced or reported in recent months. Public records show no ongoing DOJ actions, special counsel probes, or court filings that would trigger formal charges within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns for high-profile private citizens indicate that charging decisions follow extended evidence gathering rather than sudden developments absent prior signals. Late-breaking disclosures, whistleblower revelations, or unexpected agency actions remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting indicators in the current record.