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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz

Ronaldo Caiado 31%

Renan Santos 26%

Augusto Cury 21%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 19%

Polymarket
NEU

Ronaldo Caiado 31%

Renan Santos 26%

Augusto Cury 21%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 19%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$78 Vol.

48%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$57 Vol.

32%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$51 Vol.

33%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$28 Vol.

19%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$48 Vol.

16%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$117 Vol.

8%

icon for Zema

Zema

$28 Vol.

7%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$28 Vol.

6%

icon for Samara

Samara

$28 Vol.

6%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$28 Vol.

5%

icon for Lula

Lula

$128 Vol.

5%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$118 Vol.

5%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$118 Vol.

5%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Brazilian polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in the October 4 first round, leaving a fragmented field for subsequent positions. Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos currently poll in the 3–6 percent range, with Cury often highest among them, followed closely by Caiado and Santos; Romeu Zema and smaller candidates trail further. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with limited name recognition and regional bases for the mid-tier contenders, sustain volatility in fourth-place ordering. Trader consensus on Caiado at 44.5 percent for fourth reflects his established profile and consistent polling, while lower prices for Cury and Santos capture the narrow gaps and potential last-minute shifts from debates or turnout patterns before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$854
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Brazilian polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in the October 4 first round, leaving a fragmented field for subsequent positions. Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos currently poll in the 3–6 percent range, with Cury often highest among them, followed closely by Caiado and Santos; Romeu Zema and smaller candidates trail further. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with limited name recognition and regional bases for the mid-tier contenders, sustain volatility in fourth-place ordering. Trader consensus on Caiado at 44.5 percent for fourth reflects his established profile and consistent polling, while lower prices for Cury and Santos capture the narrow gaps and potential last-minute shifts from debates or turnout patterns before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$854
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

43%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

72%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ronaldo Caiado" mit 48%, gefolgt von „Augusto Cury" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz" ist „Ronaldo Caiado" mit 48%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Augusto Cury" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 4. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.