Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including the April 14 CAM survey (PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and April 6 Sova Harris poll (PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%), show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) dominating with 32-34% support while GERB-SDS holds a firm second at around 19%, roughly double PP-DB (11-12%) or DPS (10%). This gap, stable over the past two weeks amid the official campaign since March 20, reflects trader consensus on GERB-SDS's commanding position under proportional representation with a 4% entry threshold. Challengers would need a late surge from undecided voters, turnout shifts favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or polling misses, but with voting imminent, such shifts appear unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBulgarische Parlamentswahl: 2. Platz
Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 2. Platz
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PB 2.1%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,630 Vol.
$58,630 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Wiedergeburt (Vazrazhdane)
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PB 2.1%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,630 Vol.
$58,630 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
GERB-SDS
$24,907 Vol.
95%
PB
$8,458 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$8,267 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Wiedergeburt (Vazrazhdane)
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including the April 14 CAM survey (PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and April 6 Sova Harris poll (PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%), show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) dominating with 32-34% support while GERB-SDS holds a firm second at around 19%, roughly double PP-DB (11-12%) or DPS (10%). This gap, stable over the past two weeks amid the official campaign since March 20, reflects trader consensus on GERB-SDS's commanding position under proportional representation with a 4% entry threshold. Challengers would need a late surge from undecided voters, turnout shifts favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or polling misses, but with voting imminent, such shifts appear unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volumen
$58,630Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including the April 14 CAM survey (PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and April 6 Sova Harris poll (PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%), show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) dominating with 32-34% support while GERB-SDS holds a firm second at around 19%, roughly double PP-DB (11-12%) or DPS (10%). This gap, stable over the past two weeks amid the official campaign since March 20, reflects trader consensus on GERB-SDS's commanding position under proportional representation with a 4% entry threshold. Challengers would need a late surge from undecided voters, turnout shifts favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or polling misses, but with voting imminent, such shifts appear unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$58,630Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including the April 14 CAM survey (PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and April 6 Sova Harris poll (PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%), show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) dominating with 32-34% support while GERB-SDS holds a firm second at around 19%, roughly double PP-DB (11-12%) or DPS (10%). This gap, stable over the past two weeks amid the official campaign since March 20, reflects trader consensus on GERB-SDS's commanding position under proportional representation with a 4% entry threshold. Challengers would need a late surge from undecided voters, turnout shifts favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or polling misses, but with voting imminent, such shifts appear unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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