Recent opinion polls for Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19 consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, first at 30-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, and PP–DB third at 11-13%, ahead of DPS at 9-11% and Vazrazhdane at 5-8%, anchoring trader consensus with PP–DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place under the proportional representation system. DPS's 19% odds reflect its stable ethnic minority base and potential to close the narrow 1-4 point gap seen in April 3-14 surveys from CAM, Sova Harris, and Market Links. GERB-SDS and others trail far behind for third. Recent vote-buying crackdowns with arrests in Plovdiv and Haskovo have not shifted standings amid the campaign's final days, heightening focus on turnout in this eighth election since 2021.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz
Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz
PP–DB 74%
DPS 19%
Wiedergeburt 3.8%
GERB-SDS 1.2%
$79,826 Vol.
$79,826 Vol.

PP–DB
74%

DPS
19%

Wiedergeburt
4%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 74%
DPS 19%
Wiedergeburt 3.8%
GERB-SDS 1.2%
$79,826 Vol.
$79,826 Vol.

PP–DB
74%

DPS
19%

Wiedergeburt
4%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

Velichie
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19 consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, first at 30-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, and PP–DB third at 11-13%, ahead of DPS at 9-11% and Vazrazhdane at 5-8%, anchoring trader consensus with PP–DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place under the proportional representation system. DPS's 19% odds reflect its stable ethnic minority base and potential to close the narrow 1-4 point gap seen in April 3-14 surveys from CAM, Sova Harris, and Market Links. GERB-SDS and others trail far behind for third. Recent vote-buying crackdowns with arrests in Plovdiv and Haskovo have not shifted standings amid the campaign's final days, heightening focus on turnout in this eighth election since 2021.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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