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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz

Market icon
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz

PP–DB 72%

DPS 19%

Wiedergeburt 6.4%

GERB-SDS 1.3%

Polymarket

$79,626 Vol.

PP–DB 72%

DPS 19%

Wiedergeburt 6.4%

GERB-SDS 1.3%

Polymarket

$79,626 Vol.

Wird Wir setzen den Wandel fort – Demokratisches Bulgarien (PP–DB) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

PP–DB

$23,587 Vol.

72%

Wird die Bewegung für Rechte und Freiheiten (DPS) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

DPS

$12,583 Vol.

19%

Wird die Partei Wiedergeburt (Vazrazhdane) bei den bulgarischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

Wiedergeburt

$3,033 Vol.

6%

Wird GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

GERB-SDS

$9,595 Vol.

1%

Wird Moral, Einheit, Ehre (MECh) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

MECh

$3,238 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Vereinigte Linke (BSP) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

BSP

$20,073 Vol.

<1%

Wird Es gibt so ein Volk (ITN) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

ITN

$2,065 Vol.

<1%

Wird Progressive Bulgarien (PB) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

PB

$1,575 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Allianz für Rechte und Freiheiten (APS) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

APS

$2,076 Vol.

<1%

Wird Velichie (Velichie) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen? icon

Velichie

$1,802 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and PP-DB at 12% ahead of DPS at 11%, have solidified trader consensus that PP-DB will secure third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021. This positioning stems from Progressive Bulgaria's anti-establishment surge under former President Rumen Radev, displacing GERB-SDS to second, while PP-DB maintains a consistent edge over DPS amid fragmented vote shares and voter fatigue. DPS trails closely in some surveys like Sova Harris (April 6), fueling its 18.5% implied probability, but Vazrazhdane's sub-8% support keeps it marginal for podium contention. With the vote days away, no major catalysts have shifted these dynamics.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$79,626
Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and PP-DB at 12% ahead of DPS at 11%, have solidified trader consensus that PP-DB will secure third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021. This positioning stems from Progressive Bulgaria's anti-establishment surge under former President Rumen Radev, displacing GERB-SDS to second, while PP-DB maintains a consistent edge over DPS amid fragmented vote shares and voter fatigue. DPS trails closely in some surveys like Sova Harris (April 6), fueling its 18.5% implied probability, but Vazrazhdane's sub-8% support keeps it marginal for podium contention. With the vote days away, no major catalysts have shifted these dynamics.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$79,626
Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „PP–DB" mit 72%, gefolgt von „DPS" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 72¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $79.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz" ist „PP–DB" mit 72%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „DPS" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Bulgarische Parlamentswahl: 3. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.