Trader consensus leans toward moderate X activity from Elon Musk over April 6-8, with the 65-89 post range at 33.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent volatility: a 77-post surge on April 1 fueled by political jabs, a quiet 22 on April 2, and a near-100 spike on April 3 amid xAI hype. The closely contested field—40-64 at 26.5%, 90-114 at 24.5%—highlights uncertainty in this pop culture powerhouse's posting rhythm, driven by viral moments rather than scheduled events. Absent breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or platform tweaks, skin-in-the-game bettors expect 20-30 daily tweets, though a controversy could ignite higher engagement before the market locks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert65-89 34%
40-64 29%
90-114 25%
115-139 11%
NEU
$92,498 Vol.
NEU
$92,498 Vol.
8. Apr. 2026
<40
4%
40-64
29%
65-89
34%
90-114
25%
115-139
11%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190–214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 34%
40-64 29%
90-114 25%
115-139 11%
NEU
$92,498 Vol.
NEU
$92,498 Vol.
8. Apr. 2026
<40
$8,355 Vol.
4%
40-64
$1,693 Vol.
29%
65-89
$1,359 Vol.
34%
90-114
$963 Vol.
25%
115-139
$1,530 Vol.
11%
140-164
$2,948 Vol.
2%
165-189
$6,116 Vol.
1%
190–214
$20,385 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$17,780 Vol.
<1%
240+
$31,438 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus leans toward moderate X activity from Elon Musk over April 6-8, with the 65-89 post range at 33.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent volatility: a 77-post surge on April 1 fueled by political jabs, a quiet 22 on April 2, and a near-100 spike on April 3 amid xAI hype. The closely contested field—40-64 at 26.5%, 90-114 at 24.5%—highlights uncertainty in this pop culture powerhouse's posting rhythm, driven by viral moments rather than scheduled events. Absent breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or platform tweaks, skin-in-the-game bettors expect 20-30 daily tweets, though a controversy could ignite higher engagement before the market locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$92,498Enddatum
8. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus leans toward moderate X activity from Elon Musk over April 6-8, with the 65-89 post range at 33.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent volatility: a 77-post surge on April 1 fueled by political jabs, a quiet 22 on April 2, and a near-100 spike on April 3 amid xAI hype. The closely contested field—40-64 at 26.5%, 90-114 at 24.5%—highlights uncertainty in this pop culture powerhouse's posting rhythm, driven by viral moments rather than scheduled events. Absent breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or platform tweaks, skin-in-the-game bettors expect 20-30 daily tweets, though a controversy could ignite higher engagement before the market locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$92,498Enddatum
8. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus leans toward moderate X activity from Elon Musk over April 6-8, with the 65-89 post range at 33.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent volatility: a 77-post surge on April 1 fueled by political jabs, a quiet 22 on April 2, and a near-100 spike on April 3 amid xAI hype. The closely contested field—40-64 at 26.5%, 90-114 at 24.5%—highlights uncertainty in this pop culture powerhouse's posting rhythm, driven by viral moments rather than scheduled events. Absent breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or platform tweaks, skin-in-the-game bettors expect 20-30 daily tweets, though a controversy could ignite higher engagement before the market locks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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