Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times at 32.5% implied probability during April 4-6, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 27.5%, driven by his recent high-volume rhythm—74 posts across April 2-4 averaging 37 daily amid Tesla Q1 delivery reports and Grok Imagine upgrades. This closely contested dynamic hinges on whether Musk sustains momentum from viral Supercharger milestones and political commentary, or dips during the weekend with fewer catalysts. Historical patterns show variability in his X engagement, amplified by real-time news like SpaceX updates, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game wisdom amid pop culture's unpredictable posting trajectories. Key swing factors include emerging threads or platform announcements before the April 6 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NEU
$135,588 Vol.
NEU
$135,588 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
<40
3%
40-64
20%
65-89
33%
90-114
28%
115-139
14%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NEU
$135,588 Vol.
NEU
$135,588 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
<40
$10,246 Vol.
3%
40-64
$6,462 Vol.
20%
65-89
$2,400 Vol.
33%
90-114
$5,156 Vol.
28%
115-139
$5,398 Vol.
14%
140-164
$5,914 Vol.
3%
165-189
$11,577 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12,645 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$36,333 Vol.
<1%
240+
$39,856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times at 32.5% implied probability during April 4-6, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 27.5%, driven by his recent high-volume rhythm—74 posts across April 2-4 averaging 37 daily amid Tesla Q1 delivery reports and Grok Imagine upgrades. This closely contested dynamic hinges on whether Musk sustains momentum from viral Supercharger milestones and political commentary, or dips during the weekend with fewer catalysts. Historical patterns show variability in his X engagement, amplified by real-time news like SpaceX updates, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game wisdom amid pop culture's unpredictable posting trajectories. Key swing factors include emerging threads or platform announcements before the April 6 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$135,588Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times at 32.5% implied probability during April 4-6, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 27.5%, driven by his recent high-volume rhythm—74 posts across April 2-4 averaging 37 daily amid Tesla Q1 delivery reports and Grok Imagine upgrades. This closely contested dynamic hinges on whether Musk sustains momentum from viral Supercharger milestones and political commentary, or dips during the weekend with fewer catalysts. Historical patterns show variability in his X engagement, amplified by real-time news like SpaceX updates, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game wisdom amid pop culture's unpredictable posting trajectories. Key swing factors include emerging threads or platform announcements before the April 6 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$135,588Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times at 32.5% implied probability during April 4-6, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 27.5%, driven by his recent high-volume rhythm—74 posts across April 2-4 averaging 37 daily amid Tesla Q1 delivery reports and Grok Imagine upgrades. This closely contested dynamic hinges on whether Musk sustains momentum from viral Supercharger milestones and political commentary, or dips during the weekend with fewer catalysts. Historical patterns show variability in his X engagement, amplified by real-time news like SpaceX updates, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game wisdom amid pop culture's unpredictable posting trajectories. Key swing factors include emerging threads or platform announcements before the April 6 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen