Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 posts at nearly 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent pace of 69 posts over March 30-April 1—averaging 23 per day amid steady engagement on Tesla's FSD updates, SpaceX challenges, and cultural commentary. The neck-and-neck 65-89 (37%) and 40-64 (31.5%) lead reflects competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable rhythm: spikes from viral political takes or product announcements like FSD 14.3's wide release end-of-week could push higher, while quieter periods tip lower. No confirmed events loom, but his real-time responses to breaking news or X trends remain the key swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertElon Musk # tweets 2. April - 4. April 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 2. April - 4. April 2026?
65-89 37%
40-64 32%
90-114 21%
115-139 7%
NEU
$108,538 Vol.
NEU
$108,538 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
<40
4%
40-64
32%
65-89
37%
90-114
21%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 32%
90-114 21%
115-139 7%
NEU
$108,538 Vol.
NEU
$108,538 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
<40
$11,637 Vol.
4%
40-64
$5,185 Vol.
32%
65-89
$6,356 Vol.
37%
90-114
$5,341 Vol.
21%
115-139
$8,747 Vol.
7%
140-164
$14,227 Vol.
1%
165-189
$12,473 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,047 Vol.
1%
215-239
$18,512 Vol.
<1%
240+
$15,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 posts at nearly 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent pace of 69 posts over March 30-April 1—averaging 23 per day amid steady engagement on Tesla's FSD updates, SpaceX challenges, and cultural commentary. The neck-and-neck 65-89 (37%) and 40-64 (31.5%) lead reflects competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable rhythm: spikes from viral political takes or product announcements like FSD 14.3's wide release end-of-week could push higher, while quieter periods tip lower. No confirmed events loom, but his real-time responses to breaking news or X trends remain the key swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$108,538Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 posts at nearly 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent pace of 69 posts over March 30-April 1—averaging 23 per day amid steady engagement on Tesla's FSD updates, SpaceX challenges, and cultural commentary. The neck-and-neck 65-89 (37%) and 40-64 (31.5%) lead reflects competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable rhythm: spikes from viral political takes or product announcements like FSD 14.3's wide release end-of-week could push higher, while quieter periods tip lower. No confirmed events loom, but his real-time responses to breaking news or X trends remain the key swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$108,538Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 posts at nearly 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent pace of 69 posts over March 30-April 1—averaging 23 per day amid steady engagement on Tesla's FSD updates, SpaceX challenges, and cultural commentary. The neck-and-neck 65-89 (37%) and 40-64 (31.5%) lead reflects competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable rhythm: spikes from viral political takes or product announcements like FSD 14.3's wide release end-of-week could push higher, while quieter periods tip lower. No confirmed events loom, but his real-time responses to breaking news or X trends remain the key swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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