Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume from March 30 to April 1 at a razor-thin contest between 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent slowdown to 20-35 daily posts—including quotes, reposts, and originals—amid steady shares on Tesla FSD safety stats outperforming human drivers 9x and praise for the stunning Starship factory. This moderate pace, down from early March highs exceeding 50 tweets during peak political and product buzz, reflects quieter weekends versus event-driven spikes, with the scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 Transporter-16 launch on March 30 poised as the key differentiator that could ignite viral threads and replies pushing toward the higher bin. Historical patterns underscore the unpredictability of Musk's cultural commentary and tech milestone reactions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert65-89 39%
40-64 33%
90-114 15%
115-139 7%
NEW
$66,880 Vol.
NEW
$66,880 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
5%
40-64
33%
65-89
39%
90-114
15%
115-139
7%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 33%
90-114 15%
115-139 7%
NEW
$66,880 Vol.
NEW
$66,880 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
$8,650 Vol.
5%
40-64
$3,097 Vol.
33%
65-89
$1,934 Vol.
39%
90-114
$1,724 Vol.
15%
115-139
$2,782 Vol.
7%
140-164
$4,060 Vol.
2%
165-189
$3,460 Vol.
1%
190-214
$8,028 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$12,458 Vol.
<1%
240+
$20,686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume from March 30 to April 1 at a razor-thin contest between 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent slowdown to 20-35 daily posts—including quotes, reposts, and originals—amid steady shares on Tesla FSD safety stats outperforming human drivers 9x and praise for the stunning Starship factory. This moderate pace, down from early March highs exceeding 50 tweets during peak political and product buzz, reflects quieter weekends versus event-driven spikes, with the scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 Transporter-16 launch on March 30 poised as the key differentiator that could ignite viral threads and replies pushing toward the higher bin. Historical patterns underscore the unpredictability of Musk's cultural commentary and tech milestone reactions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$66,880Enddatum
Apr 1, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume from March 30 to April 1 at a razor-thin contest between 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent slowdown to 20-35 daily posts—including quotes, reposts, and originals—amid steady shares on Tesla FSD safety stats outperforming human drivers 9x and praise for the stunning Starship factory. This moderate pace, down from early March highs exceeding 50 tweets during peak political and product buzz, reflects quieter weekends versus event-driven spikes, with the scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 Transporter-16 launch on March 30 poised as the key differentiator that could ignite viral threads and replies pushing toward the higher bin. Historical patterns underscore the unpredictability of Musk's cultural commentary and tech milestone reactions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$66,880Enddatum
Apr 1, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume from March 30 to April 1 at a razor-thin contest between 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent slowdown to 20-35 daily posts—including quotes, reposts, and originals—amid steady shares on Tesla FSD safety stats outperforming human drivers 9x and praise for the stunning Starship factory. This moderate pace, down from early March highs exceeding 50 tweets during peak political and product buzz, reflects quieter weekends versus event-driven spikes, with the scheduled SpaceX Falcon 9 Transporter-16 launch on March 30 poised as the key differentiator that could ignite viral threads and replies pushing toward the higher bin. Historical patterns underscore the unpredictability of Musk's cultural commentary and tech milestone reactions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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