Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 280-339 tweets during March 24-31, 2026, with those ranges commanding 11-12% implied probabilities each, reflecting his recent high-volume posting patterns amid political fervor and X ownership. Recent 2024 data shows weekly totals often exceeding 300, peaking near 500 during election cycles, driven by real-time commentary on Trump administration ties, Tesla updates, and cultural memes. Closely matched frontrunners hinge on sustained daily averages of 40-50 posts, but differentiating factors include potential lulls from DOGE advisory duties or event spikes like Mars announcements, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable news-cycle reactivity versus historical baselines around 250-350 weekly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert280-299 12%
300–319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 11%
$169,427 Vol.
$169,427 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60–79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240–259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
12%
300–319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
11%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520–539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
280-299 12%
300–319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 11%
$169,427 Vol.
$169,427 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60–79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240–259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
12%
300–319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
11%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520–539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 280-339 tweets during March 24-31, 2026, with those ranges commanding 11-12% implied probabilities each, reflecting his recent high-volume posting patterns amid political fervor and X ownership. Recent 2024 data shows weekly totals often exceeding 300, peaking near 500 during election cycles, driven by real-time commentary on Trump administration ties, Tesla updates, and cultural memes. Closely matched frontrunners hinge on sustained daily averages of 40-50 posts, but differentiating factors include potential lulls from DOGE advisory duties or event spikes like Mars announcements, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable news-cycle reactivity versus historical baselines around 250-350 weekly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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