Trader consensus prices Trump's March 27 approval rating tightly around 40-41%, mirroring daily tracking polls like Rasmussen's latest at 41% approve amid early-term volatility. Key drivers include upbeat responses to border security executive actions and economic optimism from tax cut signals, tempered by partisan splits over cabinet confirmations and foreign policy friction with allies. The bunched odds reflect poll aggregation nuances—methodologies differ by 1-2 points—and historical new-president honeymoon averages near 45%, but Trump's polarization keeps it grounded. Upcoming catalysts like jobs data or Ukraine aid votes could widen spreads by shifting public sentiment 2-3 points.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTrump approval rating on March 27?
Trump approval rating on March 27?
<40.0 30%
41.0–41.4 25%
40.0–40.4 24%
40.5–40.9 22%
<40.0
30%
40.0–40.4
24%
40.5–40.9
22%
41.0–41.4
25%
41.5–41.9
22%
42.0+
6%
<40.0 30%
41.0–41.4 25%
40.0–40.4 24%
40.5–40.9 22%
<40.0
30%
40.0–40.4
24%
40.5–40.9
22%
41.0–41.4
25%
41.5–41.9
22%
42.0+
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Trump's March 27 approval rating tightly around 40-41%, mirroring daily tracking polls like Rasmussen's latest at 41% approve amid early-term volatility. Key drivers include upbeat responses to border security executive actions and economic optimism from tax cut signals, tempered by partisan splits over cabinet confirmations and foreign policy friction with allies. The bunched odds reflect poll aggregation nuances—methodologies differ by 1-2 points—and historical new-president honeymoon averages near 45%, but Trump's polarization keeps it grounded. Upcoming catalysts like jobs data or Ukraine aid votes could widen spreads by shifting public sentiment 2-3 points.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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