Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET on at least one day from March 23-28, driven primarily by President Biden's published daily schedules showing mostly afternoon domestic meetings and no late-night travel or public remarks planned. Recent patterns indicate lids typically called between 5-7 PM during non-travel periods, with March 22's lid at 6:12 PM amid routine agency briefings. No major crises or campaign stops are scheduled that week, reducing odds of overruns, though unscheduled press interactions or breaking news could delay. Traders watch morning pool reports and guidance updates for last-minute changes, as historical base rates favor early closures 70% of weekdays.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMarch 23
45%
March 24
47%
March 25
47%
March 26
46%
March 27
45%
March 28
46%
$200 Vol.
March 23
45%
March 24
47%
March 25
47%
March 26
46%
March 27
45%
March 28
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET on at least one day from March 23-28, driven primarily by President Biden's published daily schedules showing mostly afternoon domestic meetings and no late-night travel or public remarks planned. Recent patterns indicate lids typically called between 5-7 PM during non-travel periods, with March 22's lid at 6:12 PM amid routine agency briefings. No major crises or campaign stops are scheduled that week, reducing odds of overruns, though unscheduled press interactions or breaking news could delay. Traders watch morning pool reports and guidance updates for last-minute changes, as historical base rates favor early closures 70% of weekdays.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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