Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of formal charges despite explosive sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women reported in early April 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress on April 14 and suspended his California governor campaign amid probes by the Manhattan District Attorney into a claimed 2024 assault and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department into a 2018 incident, alongside a now-concluded House Ethics inquiry. He denies the claims, vowing legal defense, while older DOJ referrals on espionage ties and mortgage irregularities remain uncharged. These early-stage investigations face high procedural hurdles like evidence thresholds and statutes of limitations, with no arrest warrants issued, anchoring low near-term arrest odds absent rapid escalations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
31. Mai 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
31. Mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of formal charges despite explosive sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women reported in early April 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress on April 14 and suspended his California governor campaign amid probes by the Manhattan District Attorney into a claimed 2024 assault and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department into a 2018 incident, alongside a now-concluded House Ethics inquiry. He denies the claims, vowing legal defense, while older DOJ referrals on espionage ties and mortgage irregularities remain uncharged. These early-stage investigations face high procedural hurdles like evidence thresholds and statutes of limitations, with no arrest warrants issued, anchoring low near-term arrest odds absent rapid escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Volumen
$1,261Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of formal charges despite explosive sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women reported in early April 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress on April 14 and suspended his California governor campaign amid probes by the Manhattan District Attorney into a claimed 2024 assault and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department into a 2018 incident, alongside a now-concluded House Ethics inquiry. He denies the claims, vowing legal defense, while older DOJ referrals on espionage ties and mortgage irregularities remain uncharged. These early-stage investigations face high procedural hurdles like evidence thresholds and statutes of limitations, with no arrest warrants issued, anchoring low near-term arrest odds absent rapid escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,261Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the absence of formal charges despite explosive sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women reported in early April 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress on April 14 and suspended his California governor campaign amid probes by the Manhattan District Attorney into a claimed 2024 assault and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department into a 2018 incident, alongside a now-concluded House Ethics inquiry. He denies the claims, vowing legal defense, while older DOJ referrals on espionage ties and mortgage irregularities remain uncharged. These early-stage investigations face high procedural hurdles like evidence thresholds and statutes of limitations, with no arrest warrants issued, anchoring low near-term arrest odds absent rapid escalations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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