Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price shocks, and a stable labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment have anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range through recent FOMC meetings. Traders assign just 10% implied probability to an emergency inter-meeting cut before 2027 because economic activity continues expanding at a solid pace with no acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger such moves. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly adjust this consensus view of a data-dependent, measured policy path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price shocks, and a stable labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment have anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range through recent FOMC meetings. Traders assign just 10% implied probability to an emergency inter-meeting cut before 2027 because economic activity continues expanding at a solid pace with no acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger such moves. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly adjust this consensus view of a data-dependent, measured policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,450Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price shocks, and a stable labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment have anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range through recent FOMC meetings. Traders assign just 10% implied probability to an emergency inter-meeting cut before 2027 because economic activity continues expanding at a solid pace with no acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger such moves. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly adjust this consensus view of a data-dependent, measured policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,450Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price shocks, and a stable labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment have anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range through recent FOMC meetings. Traders assign just 10% implied probability to an emergency inter-meeting cut before 2027 because economic activity continues expanding at a solid pace with no acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger such moves. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly adjust this consensus view of a data-dependent, measured policy path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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