**Strong economic resilience and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of September 2026, the fed funds target range stands at 3.5–3.75%, with recent CPI data showing persistent inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and firmer core readings, prompting markets to price in potential 25-basis-point hikes at the upcoming September FOMC meeting and beyond. The labor market remains stable, with unemployment near 4.1% and solid job gains, while Chair Kevin Warsh has emphasized inflation control amid Middle East-related energy risks. Official projections and economist surveys point to steady or higher rates through 2026, with easing unlikely before mid-2027 absent major shocks. An abrupt recession, severe financial stress, or sharp disinflation could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions show limited scope for such urgency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
8% Chance
$212,636 Vol.
$212,636 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
8% Chance
$212,636 Vol.
$212,636 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.**Strong economic resilience and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of September 2026, the fed funds target range stands at 3.5–3.75%, with recent CPI data showing persistent inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and firmer core readings, prompting markets to price in potential 25-basis-point hikes at the upcoming September FOMC meeting and beyond. The labor market remains stable, with unemployment near 4.1% and solid job gains, while Chair Kevin Warsh has emphasized inflation control amid Middle East-related energy risks. Official projections and economist surveys point to steady or higher rates through 2026, with easing unlikely before mid-2027 absent major shocks. An abrupt recession, severe financial stress, or sharp disinflation could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions show limited scope for such urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$212,636Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.**Strong economic resilience and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of September 2026, the fed funds target range stands at 3.5–3.75%, with recent CPI data showing persistent inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and firmer core readings, prompting markets to price in potential 25-basis-point hikes at the upcoming September FOMC meeting and beyond. The labor market remains stable, with unemployment near 4.1% and solid job gains, while Chair Kevin Warsh has emphasized inflation control amid Middle East-related energy risks. Official projections and economist surveys point to steady or higher rates through 2026, with easing unlikely before mid-2027 absent major shocks. An abrupt recession, severe financial stress, or sharp disinflation could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions show limited scope for such urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$212,636Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Strong economic resilience and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of September 2026, the fed funds target range stands at 3.5–3.75%, with recent CPI data showing persistent inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and firmer core readings, prompting markets to price in potential 25-basis-point hikes at the upcoming September FOMC meeting and beyond. The labor market remains stable, with unemployment near 4.1% and solid job gains, while Chair Kevin Warsh has emphasized inflation control amid Middle East-related energy risks. Official projections and economist surveys point to steady or higher rates through 2026, with easing unlikely before mid-2027 absent major shocks. An abrupt recession, severe financial stress, or sharp disinflation could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions show limited scope for such urgency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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