Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District rightward by incorporating more rural and conservative counties while reducing its previous Latino and Democratic tilt, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces Republican nominee Dan Green, who emerged from an August 18 primary in a crowded field. Recent internal polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% Republican and 33.5% Democratic shares aligns with the map’s structural change and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive but GOP-favored outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-09 Wahlsieger
FL-09 Wahlsieger
$19,667 Vol.
$19,667 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
65%
Demokratische Partei
33%
$19,667 Vol.
$19,667 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$11,485 Vol.
65%
Demokratische Partei
$8,182 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District rightward by incorporating more rural and conservative counties while reducing its previous Latino and Democratic tilt, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces Republican nominee Dan Green, who emerged from an August 18 primary in a crowded field. Recent internal polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% Republican and 33.5% Democratic shares aligns with the map’s structural change and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive but GOP-favored outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$19,667Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District rightward by incorporating more rural and conservative counties while reducing its previous Latino and Democratic tilt, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces Republican nominee Dan Green, who emerged from an August 18 primary in a crowded field. Recent internal polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% Republican and 33.5% Democratic shares aligns with the map’s structural change and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive but GOP-favored outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,667Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District rightward by incorporating more rural and conservative counties while reducing its previous Latino and Democratic tilt, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces Republican nominee Dan Green, who emerged from an August 18 primary in a crowded field. Recent internal polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% Republican and 33.5% Democratic shares aligns with the map’s structural change and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive but GOP-favored outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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