**Low summer influenza circulation keeps hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold.** As of late July 2026 (Week 29 ending July 25), CDC FluView reports minimal activity with only 0.5% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, ILI visits at 0.9%, and ED influenza diagnoses at 0.1%, consistent with off-season patterns where transmission drops sharply after the winter peak. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates typically fall to 0.1 or below by late May–July, though small fluctuations from sporadic cases or reporting lags can push the exact value across the 0.1 boundary. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty around these low-level detections and any final adjustments in surveillance data before resolution. Upcoming CDC updates for Week 30 will clarify whether rates stabilize at or dip below the threshold amid ongoing co-circulation of other respiratory viruses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGrippekrankenhausaufenthaltsrate Woche 30, 2026?
<0,1 48%
0,1 48%
>0,1 48%
<0,1
48%
0,1
48%
>0,1
48%
<0,1 48%
0,1 48%
>0,1 48%
<0,1
48%
0,1
48%
>0,1
48%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Low summer influenza circulation keeps hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold.** As of late July 2026 (Week 29 ending July 25), CDC FluView reports minimal activity with only 0.5% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, ILI visits at 0.9%, and ED influenza diagnoses at 0.1%, consistent with off-season patterns where transmission drops sharply after the winter peak. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates typically fall to 0.1 or below by late May–July, though small fluctuations from sporadic cases or reporting lags can push the exact value across the 0.1 boundary. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty around these low-level detections and any final adjustments in surveillance data before resolution. Upcoming CDC updates for Week 30 will clarify whether rates stabilize at or dip below the threshold amid ongoing co-circulation of other respiratory viruses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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