Skip to main content
icon for Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?

Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?

icon for Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?

Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?

NEU
31. Okt. 2026
Polymarket

$20 Vol.

Polymarket

31. Oktober 2026

$0 Vol.

52%

31. Dezember 2026

$20 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold. A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify. Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify. A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Anthropic research with an unreleased Claude model produced the main catalyst, combining prior number-theory results to raise the proven lower bound on non-trivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lying on the critical line from 41.6% to 67.2%, with a formally verifiable Lean proof and expert validation. This AI-assisted advance, announced in mid-August 2026, represents measurable progress on a core partial result without resolving the full hypothesis. Traders weigh its legitimacy against historical incremental bounds, ongoing computational verifications exceeding 10^12 zeros, and competing claims such as arXiv surveys or independent preprints that lack comparable rigor. Upcoming factors include further AI scaling experiments, major number-theory conferences, and any peer-reviewed follow-ups that could shift consensus on what counts as substantive advancement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold.

A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify.

Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify.

A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$20
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold. A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify. Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify. A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold. A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify. Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify. A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Anthropic research with an unreleased Claude model produced the main catalyst, combining prior number-theory results to raise the proven lower bound on non-trivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lying on the critical line from 41.6% to 67.2%, with a formally verifiable Lean proof and expert validation. This AI-assisted advance, announced in mid-August 2026, represents measurable progress on a core partial result without resolving the full hypothesis. Traders weigh its legitimacy against historical incremental bounds, ongoing computational verifications exceeding 10^12 zeros, and competing claims such as arXiv surveys or independent preprints that lack comparable rigor. Upcoming factors include further AI scaling experiments, major number-theory conferences, and any peer-reviewed follow-ups that could shift consensus on what counts as substantive advancement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold.

A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify.

Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify.

A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$20
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold. A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify. Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify. A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is sufficiently substantiated by its accompanying proof and has received credible independent validation or acceptance from recognized experts in analytic number theory or the broader mathematical community. For example, the Anthropic result announced on August 10, 2026, which established an improved unconditional lower bound of approximately 67.25% on the proportion of Riemann zeta zeros on the critical line, would qualify under these criteria if it would meet the required 70% threshold. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte

icon for Wird das CMI bis zum 31. Dezember 2028 ein Millennium-Preisproblem als gelöst erklären?

Wird das CMI bis zum 31. Dezember 2028 ein Millennium-Preisproblem als gelöst erklären?

35%
Ja
icon for Wird OpenAIs Astra-Modell mit einer Punktzahl von 40 % oder mehr beim Humanity’s Last Exam debütieren?

Wird OpenAIs Astra-Modell mit einer Punktzahl von 40 % oder mehr beim Humanity’s Last Exam debütieren?

87%
Ja
icon for Wird der Q2-Umsatz von NVIDIA (NVDA) im Bereich Data Center über 80 Milliarden US-Dollar liegen?

Wird der Q2-Umsatz von NVIDIA (NVDA) im Bereich Data Center über 80 Milliarden US-Dollar liegen?

96%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Oktober 2026" mit 52%, gefolgt von „31. Dezember 2026" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 52¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 52% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?" ist „31. Oktober 2026" mit 52%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 52% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember 2026" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Weitere inhaltliche Fortschritte bei der Riemann-Hypothese bis zum ___?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.