Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (39.5% implied probability) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 19, driven by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projecting a daily maximum of 14°C amid northerly winds at 13 km/h and humidity rising to 91%, alongside yr.no model outputs showing 12°C with light precipitation (3.4 mm). These cooler projections stem from a recent cold air advection pattern suppressing daytime heating through partial cloud cover and gusts up to 32 km/h, contrasting historical mid-April averages near 16°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in insolation and shower timing, with MGM hourly updates and airport observations expected to refine probabilities through the afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
12°C 40%
13°C 25%
11°C 24%
14°C or higher 11%
$11,406 Vol.
$11,406 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
24%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C or higher
11%
12°C 40%
13°C 25%
11°C 24%
14°C or higher 11%
$11,406 Vol.
$11,406 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
24%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (39.5% implied probability) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 19, driven by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projecting a daily maximum of 14°C amid northerly winds at 13 km/h and humidity rising to 91%, alongside yr.no model outputs showing 12°C with light precipitation (3.4 mm). These cooler projections stem from a recent cold air advection pattern suppressing daytime heating through partial cloud cover and gusts up to 32 km/h, contrasting historical mid-April averages near 16°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in insolation and shower timing, with MGM hourly updates and airport observations expected to refine probabilities through the afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen