Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 13. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 13. Juli?
84-85°F 46%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
88-89°F 7%
NEU
NEU
13. Juli 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 46%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
88-89°F 7%
NEU
NEU
13. Juli 2026
77°F or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$551 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$284 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$296 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$83 Vol.
46%
86-87°F
$257 Vol.
33%
88-89°F
$259 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$560 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$3,463Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,463Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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