Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 14. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 14. Juli?
33°C 100.0%
31°C oder darunter <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,720 Vol.
$84,720 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
31°C oder darunter
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Nein
41°C oder höher
Nein
33°C 100.0%
31°C oder darunter <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,720 Vol.
$84,720 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
31°C oder darunter
$6,535 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$10,485 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$21,316 Vol.
Ja
34°C
$12,907 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$12,252 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$8,927 Vol.
Nein
37°C
$7,980 Vol.
Nein
38°C
$3,284 Vol.
Nein
39°C
$591 Vol.
Nein
40°C
$242 Vol.
Nein
41°C oder höher
$201 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$84,720Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$84,720Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen