Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 13. Juli?
32°C 42%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
42%
33°C
33%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
42%
33°C
33%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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