Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models, indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 22, supporting a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an advancing heat wave driven by warmer air from southern regions. Recent observations show August 21 highs near 32–34°C, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected to allow strong daytime solar heating. This model consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, underpins trader positioning around the 35°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) while assigning lower weight to 36°C or cooler scenarios. Updated forecast runs and official briefings in the coming hours could refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 22. August?
35°C 61%
34°C 33%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
$11,572 Vol.
$11,572 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
33%
35°C
61%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 61%
34°C 33%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
$11,572 Vol.
$11,572 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
33%
35°C
61%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models, indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 22, supporting a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an advancing heat wave driven by warmer air from southern regions. Recent observations show August 21 highs near 32–34°C, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected to allow strong daytime solar heating. This model consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, underpins trader positioning around the 35°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) while assigning lower weight to 36°C or cooler scenarios. Updated forecast runs and official briefings in the coming hours could refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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