Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 26. August?
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 10%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
40%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 10%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
95°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$30 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$295 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$63 Vol.
10%
102-103°F
$159 Vol.
40%
104-105°F
$183 Vol.
43%
106-107°F
$97 Vol.
14%
108-109°F
$5 Vol.
7%
110-111°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$928Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$928Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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