Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?
92°F oder höher 90%
73°F oder darunter 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
73°F oder darunter
47%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F oder höher
90%
92°F oder höher 90%
73°F oder darunter 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
73°F oder darunter
47%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F oder höher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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